Newsletter
The letters we send, in full. Each one is the top of that day's board, with the reasoning behind every pick.
Latest NFLMonday, October 19, 2026
Monday Night NFL Intel
San Francisco plays Washington without Deebo Samuel, and Mike Evans is questionable with rib and Achilles injuries, which leaves the 49ers short at wide receiver.
- Christian McCaffreyO 4.5 Receptions98.90
- Brock PurdyO 250.5 Passing Yards97.50
- George KittleO 66.5 Receiving Yards96.40
Recaps and features7 letters
Tue, Oct 13
Week 5 Recap: What Held, What Didn't, and What Changes in Week 6
Wide receivers went 13-6 at 90+ for a third straight winning week, touchdown scorers moved to 25-7 on the season, and Lions-Cardinals went 8-1.
Wed, Oct 7
Week 4 Recap: What Held, What Didn't, and What Changes in Week 5
Wide receivers went 15-6 at 90+, touchdown scorers moved to 19-6 on the season, and the 90+ board finished with a winning record.
Tue, Sep 29
Week 3 Recap: What Held, What Didn't, and What Changes in Week 4
Touchdown scorers stayed hot, and rushing attempts, wide receivers and pass attempts all posted winning records at 90+.
Tue, Sep 22
Week 2 Recap: What Held, What Didn't, and What Changes in Week 3
Receiving and touchdown scorers delivered, and the 90+ board finished with a winning record.
Wed, Sep 16
Week 1 Recap: What Held, What Didn't, and What Changes in Week 2
Touchdown scorers, passing yards and primetime delivered. Passing-touchdown unders ran into the highest-scoring Week 1 of the Super Bowl era.
Tue, Sep 8
Everything New in Elite Picks
Our biggest model upgrade yet, the new AI Agent, free charts, prediction markets, and more.
Fri, Sep 4
Why the Model Is Fading Week 1 Passing Props
Almost every Week 1 passing prop leans under. Here's the pattern behind it, and what the EP model does with it.
Every letter94 this year
October 2026
NBAWed, Oct 21
Wednesday Night NBA Intel
- Franz WagnerU 5.5 Assists99.52
- Austin ReavesO 5.5 Assists98.86
- Jabari Smith Jr.O 14.5 PA96.97
NBATue, Oct 20
Opening Night NBA Intel
- Jaylen BrownO 30.5 Pts + Reb + Ast99.52
- Victor WembanyamaU 37.5 PR97.90
- Karl-Anthony TownsU 1.5 Threes Made95.36
NFLMon, Oct 19
Monday Night NFL Intel
- Christian McCaffreyO 4.5 Receptions98.90
- Brock PurdyO 250.5 Passing Yards97.50
- George KittleO 66.5 Receiving Yards96.40
MLBMon, Oct 19
Monday Night MLB Intel
- Chandler SimpsonU 1.5 Total Bases91.87
- Freddy PeraltaU 1.5 Earned Runs90.48
MLBSun, Oct 18
Sunday Night MLB Intel
- Chandler SimpsonU 1.5 Total Bases90.74
- Parker MessickU 1.5 Earned Runs90.29
- Drew RasmussenU 4.5 Hits Allowed90.00
NFLSat, Oct 17
Big Favorites Keep Their Foot on the Gas
- Drake MayeO 1.5 Passing TDs91.56
- Brock PurdyO 2.5 Passing TDs87.85
NFLSat, Oct 17
Sunday NFL Intel
- Derrick HenryO 89.5 Rushing Yards98.55
- Travis KelceO 52.5 Receiving Yards97.88
- Kyren WilliamsO 69.5 Rushing Yards97.00
MLBSat, Oct 17
Saturday Night MLB Intel
- Chandler SimpsonU 1.5 Total Bases94.14
- Liam HicksU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs90.95
- Chase DeLauterO 0.5 Total Bases90.81
MLBFri, Oct 16
Friday Night MLB Intel
- Chandler SimpsonU 1.5 Total Bases91.97
- Nick MartinezU 3.5 Hits Allowed90.87
NFLThu, Oct 15
Thursday Night NFL Intel
- J.K. DobbinsO 48.5 Rushing Yards97.22
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaO 94.5 Receiving Yards93.15
- Sam DarnoldO 223.5 Passing Yards92.24
MLBThu, Oct 15
Thursday Night MLB Intel
- Taylor WallsU 0.5 Hits98.74
- Tyler GlasnowO 5.5 Strikeouts95.81
- Jonny DeLucaU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs94.56
MLBWed, Oct 14
Wednesday Night MLB Intel
- Mookie BettsO 0.5 Hits92.01
- Jackson ChourioU 1.5 Total Bases91.86
- Kyle TuckerO 0.5 Total Bases91.30
NFLTue, Oct 13
Week 5 Recap: What Held, What Didn't, and What Changes in Week 6
Wide receivers went 13-6 at 90+ for a third straight winning week, touchdown scorers moved to 25-7 on the season, and Lions-Cardinals went 8-1.
MLBTue, Oct 13
Tuesday Night MLB Intel
- Nathaniel LoweU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs92.48
- Freddy PeraltaU 1.5 Earned Runs90.20
NFLMon, Oct 12
Monday Night NFL Intel
- Puka NacuaO 94.5 Receiving Yards98.50
- Colby ParkinsonO 17.5 Receiving Yards97.39
- Dalton KincaidO 55.5 Receiving Yards92.60
MLBMon, Oct 12
Monday Night MLB Intel
- Christian YelichU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs92.17
- Drew RasmussenU 1.5 Earned Runs90.91
- Logan HendersonU 3.5 Hits Allowed90.48
MLBSun, Oct 11
Sunday Night MLB Intel
- Jackson ChourioU 1.5 Total Bases93.13
- Tarik SkubalU 4.5 Hits Allowed90.74
MLBSat, Oct 10
Saturday Night MLB Intel
- Sean BurkeO 3.5 Strikeouts92.12
- Jo AdellO 0.5 Total Bases90.55
NFLFri, Oct 9
Sunday NFL Intel
- Derrick HenryU 19.5 Rush Attempts97.49
- Jahmyr GibbsO 19.5 Rush Attempts96.75
- Justin HerbertO 200.5 Passing Yards92.76
NFLThu, Oct 8
Thursday Night NFL Intel
- CeeDee LambO 81.5 Receiving Yards96.40
- Javonte WilliamsU 70.5 Rushing Yards95.40
- Dak PrescottU 34.5 Pass Attempts92.11
MLBThu, Oct 8
Thursday Night MLB Intel
- Hagen SmithO 1.5 Strikeouts91.95
- Parker MessickU 3.5 Hits Allowed90.73
NFLWed, Oct 7
Week 4 Recap: What Held, What Didn't, and What Changes in Week 5
Wide receivers went 15-6 at 90+, touchdown scorers moved to 19-6 on the season, and the 90+ board finished with a winning record.
MLBWed, Oct 7
Wednesday Night MLB Intel
- Braden MontgomeryU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs95.86
- Miguel VargasU 1.5 Total Bases94.21
- Walker BuehlerU 1.5 Earned Runs90.65
MLBTue, Oct 6
Tuesday Night MLB Intel
- Freddie FreemanU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs92.70
- Brice TurangO 0.5 Total Bases92.25
- Chris SaleU 4.5 Hits Allowed90.26
NFLMon, Oct 5
Monday Night NFL Intel
- Bijan RobinsonO 18.5 Rush Attempts96.77
- Chris OlaveO 6.5 Receptions95.60
- Drake LondonO 5.5 Receptions93.85
MLBMon, Oct 5
Monday Night MLB Intel
- Richie PalaciosU 0.5 Hits93.97
- Cody BellingerU 1.5 Total Bases93.93
- Colson MontgomeryU 0.5 Hits92.65
MLBSat, Oct 3
Saturday Night MLB Intel
- Jacob MisiorowskiO 17.5 Pitcher Outs92.70
- Munetaka MurakamiO 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs91.27
- Tarik SkubalU 4.5 Hits Allowed90.98
NFLSat, Oct 3
Sunday NFL Intel
- Jonathan TaylorO 19.5 Rush Attempts93.67
- Dak PrescottO 265.5 Passing Yards92.99
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaO 6.5 Receptions91.02
NFLThu, Oct 1
Thursday Night NFL Intel
- DK MetcalfU 3.5 Receptions95.00
- KC Concepcion Jr.O 3.5 Receptions94.50
- Harold Fannin Jr.O 40.5 Receiving Yards93.33
MLBThu, Oct 1
Thursday Night MLB Intel
- Mike YastrzemskiO 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs93.53
- Aaron NolaU 1.5 Earned Runs90.40
- Ray KerrU 1.5 Hits Allowed90.16
September 2026
MLBWed, Sep 30
Wednesday Night MLB Intel
- Adley RutschmanU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs91.97
- Yordan AlvarezO 0.5 Hits91.18
- Jake CronenworthO 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs91.11
NFLTue, Sep 29
Week 3 Recap: What Held, What Didn't, and What Changes in Week 4
Touchdown scorers stayed hot, and rushing attempts, wide receivers and pass attempts all posted winning records at 90+.
MLBTue, Sep 29
Tuesday Night MLB Intel
- Chris SaleU 4.5 Hits Allowed90.23
- Hagen SmithO 3.5 Pitcher Outs90.19
- Payton TolleU 1.5 Earned Runs90.00
NFLMon, Sep 28
Monday Night NFL Intel
- Kyle MonangaiO 9.5 Rush Attempts99.18
- D'Andre SwiftO 14.5 Rush Attempts98.98
- Saquon BarkleyU 72.5 Rushing Yards92.40
MLBSun, Sep 27
Sunday Night MLB Intel
- Miguel VargasO 0.5 Runs99.50
- DJ HerzU 4.5 Strikeouts98.88
- Yainer DiazU 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs97.67
NFLSat, Sep 26
Sunday NFL Intel
- Dalton KincaidO 57.5 Receiving Yards99.75
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaO 92.5 Receiving Yards98.51
- KC Concepcion Jr.O 3.5 Receptions95.56
MLBSat, Sep 26
Saturday Night MLB Intel
- Miguel VargasO 0.5 Runs99.22
- Chase MeidrothO 0.5 Hits98.61
- Spencer TorkelsonO 0.5 Total Bases96.59
MLBFri, Sep 25
Friday Night MLB Intel
- Bryce MillerU 6.5 Strikeouts95.92
- Joe RyanU 15.5 Pitcher Outs93.55
- Salvador PerezU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs92.76
NFLThu, Sep 24
Thursday Night NFL Intel
- Bijan RobinsonU 78.5 Rushing Yards99.44
- MarShawn LloydU 5.5 Receiving Yards94.99
- Kaleb JohnsonO 38.5 Rushing Yards90.00
MLBThu, Sep 24
Thursday Night MLB Intel
- Kyle TuckerO 0.5 Total Bases92.58
- Josh JungU 1.5 Total Bases92.10
- David SandlinU 2.5 Earned Runs90.99
MLBWed, Sep 23
Wednesday Night MLB Intel
- Dillon DinglerU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs98.01
- Hao-Yu LeeU 1.5 Total Bases93.76
- Richie PalaciosO 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs91.81
NFLTue, Sep 22
Week 2 Recap: What Held, What Didn't, and What Changes in Week 3
Receiving and touchdown scorers delivered, and the 90+ board finished with a winning record.
MLBTue, Sep 22
Tuesday Night MLB Intel
- JJ BledayO 0.5 Total Bases94.31
- Josh JungU 1.5 Total Bases93.53
- Sal StewartO 0.5 Hits91.90
NFLMon, Sep 21
Monday Night NFL Intel
- Blake CorumU 47.5 Rushing Yards94.17
- Jaxson DartO 31.5 Rushing Yards93.13
- Kyren WilliamsU 2.5 Receptions90.97
MLBMon, Sep 21
Monday Night MLB Intel
- DJ HerzO 3.5 Strikeouts99.79
- Zebby MatthewsO 5.5 Hits Allowed90.98
- Shane BazU 2.5 Earned Runs90.75
MLBSun, Sep 20
Sunday Night MLB Intel
- Kyle TuckerO 0.5 Total Bases92.19
- Emmanuel RodriguezU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs91.79
- Jacob deGromO 17.5 Pitcher Outs91.56
MLBSat, Sep 19
Saturday Night MLB Intel
- Bryce MillerU 4.5 Strikeouts95.85
- Joe RyanU 6.5 Strikeouts94.90
- Adley RutschmanU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs93.81
NFLFri, Sep 18
Sunday NFL Intel
- David MontgomeryO 11.5 Receiving Yards98.07
- Jake FergusonO 26.5 Receiving Yards93.78
- Saquon BarkleyO 1.5 Receptions91.75
MLBFri, Sep 18
Friday Night MLB Intel
- David SandlinO 14.5 Pitcher Outs95.37
- Aaron JudgeU 1.5 Total Bases94.30
- Adley RutschmanU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs93.86
NFLThu, Sep 17
Thursday Night NFL Intel
- Jahmyr GibbsAnytime Touchdown96.50
- DJ MooreO 63.5 Receiving Yards94.76
- Dalton KincaidO 3.5 Receptions93.86
MLBThu, Sep 17
Thursday Night MLB Intel
- Jackson ChourioU 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs98.07
- Will SmithO 0.5 Hits96.65
- Kyle TuckerO 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs94.47
NFLWed, Sep 16
Week 1 Recap: What Held, What Didn't, and What Changes in Week 2
Touchdown scorers, passing yards and primetime delivered. Passing-touchdown unders ran into the highest-scoring Week 1 of the Super Bowl era.
MLBWed, Sep 16
Wednesday Night MLB Intel
- Kyle TuckerO 0.5 Total Bases93.75
- Jake BennettU 16.5 Pitcher Outs91.05
- Zack WheelerU 4.5 Hits Allowed90.11
MLBTue, Sep 15
Tuesday Night MLB Intel
- Konnor GriffinU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs97.75
- Sean ManaeaU 6.5 Strikeouts96.58
- Dominic CanzoneU 1.5 Total Bases95.79
NFLMon, Sep 14
Monday Night NFL Intel
- Travis KelceO 3.5 Receptions98.99
- Patrick MahomesU 1.5 Passing TDs94.99
- Bo NixU 229.5 Passing Yards93.99
MLBMon, Sep 14
Monday Night MLB Intel
- Austin WellsO 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs93.86
- Dillon DinglerU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs93.73
- Max MuncyO 0.5 Total Bases93.22
MLBSun, Sep 13
Sunday Night MLB Intel
- Bryce EldridgeO 0.5 Total Bases96.82
- Jackson HollidayU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs91.12
- Eduardo RodriguezO 5.5 Hits Allowed90.91
MLBSat, Sep 12
Saturday Night MLB Intel
- Dylan BeaversU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs97.49
- Walker JenkinsU 0.5 Hits97.33
- Jake BauersO 0.5 Hits97.32
NFLFri, Sep 11
Sunday NFL Intel
- Jordan LoveU 239.5 Passing Yards97.78
- C.J. StroudU 1.5 Passing TDs99.88
- Lamar JacksonU 27.5 Pass Attempts97.26
MLBFri, Sep 11
Friday Night MLB Intel
- Cade CavalliO 6.5 Strikeouts94.80
- Chase DeLauterU 1.5 Total Bases94.80
- Pete Crow-ArmstrongU 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs94.71
NFLThu, Sep 10
Thursday Night NFL Intel
- Brock PurdyU 242.5 Passing Yards95.89
- Terrance FergusonO 1.5 Receptions94.99
- Puka NacuaO 2.5 Rushing Yards94.46
MLBThu, Sep 10
Thursday Night MLB Intel
- Jonny DeLucaO 0.5 Total Bases94.19
- Jonathan ArandaO 0.5 Hits93.03
- Evan CarterU 0.5 Hits92.98
MLBWed, Sep 9
Wednesday Night MLB Intel
- Trevor StoryU 1.5 Total Bases96.59
- Ozzie AlbiesO 0.5 Total Bases95.73
- Randy ArozarenaO 0.5 Hits95.32
NFLWed, Sep 9
Season Opener NFL Intel
- Sam DarnoldU 1.5 Passing TDs97.07
- AJ BarnerO 2.5 Receptions95.15
- Cooper KuppO 29.5 Receiving Yards93.50
EPTue, Sep 8
Everything New in Elite Picks
Our biggest model upgrade yet, the new AI Agent, free charts, prediction markets, and more.
MLBTue, Sep 8
Tuesday Night MLB Intel
- Corbin BurnesO 11.5 Pitcher Outs99.56
- Sean ManaeaU 5.5 Strikeouts95.34
- Michael ConfortoU 0.5 Hits94.88
MLBMon, Sep 7
Monday Night MLB Intel
- Trevor StoryU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs97.22
- Bryce HarperO 0.5 Hits94.14
- Shohei OhtaniU 1.5 Total Bases94.10
MLBSun, Sep 6
Sunday Night MLB Intel
- Jake BauersO 0.5 Hits97.76
- Colson MontgomeryO 0.5 Total Bases96.81
- William ContrerasO 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs96.60
MLBSat, Sep 5
Saturday Night MLB Intel
- Bryce HarperO 0.5 Hits98.46
- Kyle SchwarberO 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs96.09
- Tyler GlasnowO 17.5 Pitcher Outs95.18
NFLFri, Sep 4
Why the Model Is Fading Week 1 Passing Props
Almost every Week 1 passing prop leans under. Here's the pattern behind it, and what the EP model does with it.
MLBFri, Sep 4
Friday Night MLB Intel
- Dylan BeaversO 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs97.75
- Leody TaverasO 0.5 Total Bases96.34
- Cody BellingerU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs94.76
MLBThu, Sep 3
Thursday Night MLB Intel
- Jac CaglianoneU 1.5 Total Bases96.58
- Jake BauersO 0.5 Total Bases94.74
- Isaac CollinsU 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs94.69
MLBWed, Sep 2
Wednesday Night MLB Intel
- Pete AlonsoO 1.5 Total Bases98.28
- Drake BaldwinU 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs97.74
- Davis MartinU 3.5 Strikeouts97.66
May 2026
NBAThu, May 28
Perfect Monday + Two Game 6 Plays at 95-96 EP Score
- Victor WembanyamaO 15.5 Rebounds + Assists96.43
- Jared McCainU 2.5 Threes Made94.88
NBATue, May 26
3-0 Last Night, Two More Edges Tonight in Western Finals
- Victor WembanyamaO 29.5 Points + Assists96.97
- Jared McCainU 2.5 Threes Made94.78
NBAMon, May 25
EP Model 9-for-10 Last Night. Three 93+ Scores for Cavs-Knicks Game 4
- Donovan MitchellO 26.5 Points99.11
- Karl-Anthony TownsU 4.5 Assists98.90
- Mitchell RobinsonO 4.5 Rebounds93.05
NBAThu, May 21
3-0 on Combo Props This Week, Mitchell & Bridges Tonight
- Donovan MitchellO 3.5 Assists95.77
- Mikal BridgesO 5.5 Rebounds + Assists90.26
NBAWed, May 20
EP Model Perfect on Monday. Three More Plays Tonight from WCF.
- Alex CarusoU 2.5 Threes Made99.83
- Dylan HarperU 4.5 Rebounds98.79
- Victor WembanyamaO 24.5 Points98.24
NBATue, May 19
Perfect 90+ Scores + 3-Game Win Streak Heading Into Game 1
- Donovan MitchellO 26.5 Points99.11
- Evan MobleyO 27.5 P+R+A93.23
NBAMon, May 18
EP Model 71% on Game 7. Two Spurs Props Tonight with 99 & 93 Scores
- Victor WembanyamaO 24.5 Points99.43
- Stephon CastleO 28.5 P+R+A93.12
NBAFri, May 15
Perfect Monday + Three 97+ EP Score Plays Tonight
- Stephon CastleO 28.5 P+R+A99.84
- Donovan MitchellO 30.5 Points + Assists99.52
- James HardenO 26.5 Points + Assists97.43
NBAWed, May 13
EP Model 3-0 on 90-94 Scores | Mitchell, Mobley, Allen Tonight
- Donovan MitchellO 30.5 Points + Assists99.44
- Evan MobleyO 26.5 P+R+A96.39
- Jarrett AllenO 6.5 Rebounds92.15
NBATue, May 12
88% on 95+ EP Scores. Three Straight Wins. Three More Tonight.
- Victor WembanyamaO 30.5 Points + Assists98.19
- Anthony EdwardsO 25.5 Points96.77
- Stephon CastleO 29.5 P+R+A95.13
NBAMon, May 11
EP Model Perfect on Monday Slates, Three Playoff Plays Tonight
- Donovan MitchellO 30.5 Points + Assists99.46
- Austin ReavesO 27.5 Points + Assists95.44
- Evan MobleyO 27.5 P+R+A93.92
NBAFri, May 8
2-1 Night Keeps Streak Alive, Three Playoff Props Tonight
- Karl-Anthony TownsU 12.5 Rebounds
- Mike ConleyU 3.5 Assists99.40
- Stephon CastleO 27.5 P+R+A98.42
NBAThu, May 7
EP Model 80% Last Night, Three More Plays Tonight
- Donovan MitchellO 25 Points99.34
- Jalen DurenO 28.5 P+R+A98.30
- Marcus SmartO 3.5 Assists91.74
NBAWed, May 6
Model Crushes 61% on 90+ EP Scores, Three Playoff Plays Tonight
- Julius RandleO 29.5 P+R+A99.71
- Josh HartU 26 P+R+A99.32
- Mikal BridgesO 5.5 Rebounds + Assists90.18
NBATue, May 5
REB Model Hits 80% Four of Five, Duren's Monster Projection Tonight
- Jalen DurenO 28.5 P+R+A97.87
- Donovan MitchellO 29.5 Points + Assists97.23
- Ajay MitchellO 3.5 Assists93.53
NBAMon, May 4
EP Model Hits 80% on Saturday. Two Sharp Plays for Monday Night.
- VJ EdgecombeO 3.5 Assists95.10
- Mike ConleyU 3.5 Assists98.74
NBAFri, May 1
EP Model Crushes 90+ Unders (69%) & Rebound Props (83%), Three Plays Tonight
- Donovan MitchellO 35.5 P+R+A98.53
- Desmond BaneO 26.5 P+R+A94.80
- Tari EasonO 6.5 Rebounds93.31
April 2026
NBAThu, Apr 30
EP Model 60% Hot, Three Playoff Plays Tonight
- Jalen JohnsonO 15.5 Rebounds + Assists99.91
- Derrick WhiteO 3.5 Assists96.55
- Julius RandleU 7.5 Rebounds93.69
NBAWed, Apr 29
Mitchell & Bane Both Over 36.5, Home Court Edges in Game 5s
- Donovan MitchellO 36.5 P+R+A96.48
- Desmond BaneO 26.5 P+R+A94.88
- Reed SheppardU 21.5 Points + Assists91.06
NBATue, Apr 28
17-3 Night, +11u Profit: Three More Playoff Edges Tonight
- Jalen JohnsonO 15.5 Rebounds + Assists99.91
- Victor WembanyamaO 30.5 Points + Assists99.25
- Jaylen BrownO 26.5 Points97.30
NBAMon, Apr 27
EP Model 77% on Unders Yesterday, Two Overs Tonight at 96 & 94
- Devin BookerO 23.5 Points95.64
- Franz WagnerO 26.5 P+R+A93.85
Elite Picks is a research and analytics platform. We do not accept wagers. All content is for informational and research purposes.