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← Newsletter MLB Sunday, September 13, 2026

Sunday Night MLB Intel

Getaway day slates always have a way of producing wild betting environments, and this one has a real gem in Arizona where Eduardo Rodriguez gets a shot against Texas at Chase Field. Elsewhere Bryce Eldridge is quietly building one of the better recent stretches in baseball up in San Francisco, and Jackson Holliday's swing has gone cold at exactly the wrong time in Toronto. Three plays tonight, and the Eldridge total bases prop might be the cleanest read on the board given how he's squaring up the ball right now.

Today's Top Props3 picks
Bryce EldridgeSD @ SF · Oracle Park7:20 PM ET
Over 0.5 Total Bases
96.82EP Score
62%Projected
-137Best odds
STRONG OVER ↑

Eldridge is 11-for-36 over his last 10 games, a .306 stretch that's come with a homer and 10 RBI tacked on. That's real production, not just empty singles, and it points to a hitter seeing the ball well right now. San Diego and San Francisco square off tonight at Oracle Park, and Eldridge just needs one extra-base knock or a couple of hits to clear this number. The -137 price reflects how live this bat has been.

Jackson HollidayBAL @ TOR · Rogers Centre1:37 PM ET
Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
91.12EP Score
64%Projected
-160Best odds
LEAN UNDER ↓

Holliday has cooled off in a big way, hitting just .214 (9-for-42) over his last 10 games with only 1 homer and 3 RBI in that stretch. When the average dips that low, the hard contact and the homer/RBI combos tend to dry up right alongside it. Baltimore is on the road at Toronto this afternoon, and the case here is simple: a hitter in a slump like this isn't a great bet to produce multiple runs plus a homer in the same game. The market has this priced at -160, and the recent numbers back that lean.

Eduardo RodriguezTEX @ AZ · Chase Field4:10 PM ET
Over 5.5 Hits Allowed
90.91EP Score
100%Projected
+112Best odds
STRONG OVER ↑

Rodriguez has been dealing lately, a 1.82 ERA with 27 strikeouts over his last 5 outings, and that kind of swing-and-miss stuff usually means he's working deep into games rather than getting pulled early. The projection here sits at 16.3 against a 5.5 line, a gap that's hard to ignore. Texas visits Chase Field this afternoon, and volume is the whole story on this prop: a pitcher missing this many bats over an extended stretch tends to rack up the innings, and the hits allowed total climbs right along with the outs recorded. The +112 price adds a little extra juice to a number that already looks light.

Key Context

The Eldridge and Rodriguez plays both lean on real recent performance data rather than matchup speculation, while the Holliday under is essentially a fade of a cold bat. Worth noting the Rodriguez number carries the widest gap between line and projection on the whole card tonight.

These are the top of the board, not all of it.Every prop is scored and ranked, with the best price for each side.
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