Wednesday Night MLB Intel

Dingler's swing has gone quiet in a hurry. He's 8-for-37 over his last 10 games, a .216 clip with just 1 homer and 6 RBI mixed in, and nothing about that stretch suggests he's about to turn into a table-setter. The Nationals series doesn't scream favorable matchup for a guy scuffling like this, and the model backs staying under here at 98 EP Score, the highest number on the board today.

Here's the wrinkle: Lee is running hot right now, 15-for-43 over his last 10 with 2 homers and 9 RBI, a .349 stretch that's clearly the best form of anyone on this slate. Normally that kind of surge points you toward the over on a total bases number, but the projection here actually lands at 1.0, well under the 1.5 line, so the play is the under despite the hot bat. Sometimes a hitter's volume of production comes in singles and walks rather than extra-base pop, and that's the disconnect the model is picking up on for the Nationals matchup this afternoon.

Palacios has quietly put together a useful 10-game stretch, 7-for-24 for a .292 average with a homer and 9 RBI, and he gets a shot at the Yankees tonight in the Bronx. The projection sits at 0.7 against a 0.5 line, not a massive gap, but enough to lean the over with his bat still finding barrels. The RBI total in that window suggests he's been driving in runs consistently even when the average dips a bit game to game.