Sunday Night MLB Intel
Kyle Tucker's been doing serious damage over his last ten games, and tonight he gets a matchup that lines up nicely for extra bases. Elsewhere, Jacob deGrom's workload prop stands out as a start built around innings, not just strikeouts, while Emmanuel Rodriguez's cold stretch makes him a fade on the homer market. Three plays worth your attention as the Sunday slate wraps up, headlined by Tucker's absurd recent power surge.

Kyle TuckerSF @ LAD · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium4:10 PM ET Fifteen-for-35 with five home runs and 11 RBI over his last 10 games is the kind of stretch that makes a total bases prop feel almost unfair to the pitcher. Tucker isn't just getting hits right now, he's doing damage on nearly every one of them. At -137, the market still isn't fully pricing in how locked in he's been, and the EP model has him projected well clear of this half-run line.
Emmanuel RodriguezMIN @ LAA · Angel Stadium4:07 PM ET Rodriguez has managed just one homer over his last eight games while hitting .172 in that stretch, a rough enough slide that betting against his power output makes plain sense. The under here isn't asking for much, just that he doesn't turn into a two-homer threat out of nowhere against LAA. Given how quiet his bat has been, that's the safer side of the number.
Jacob deGromTOR @ TEX · Globe Life Field2:35 PM ET DeGrom's been racking up strikeouts at a strong clip over his last five outings, 37 of them, and a 3.90 ERA in that stretch suggests he's still going deep enough into games to clear an outs total. Facing Toronto this afternoon, the projection has him a bit above the 17.5 mark, and his recent workload backs that up. This is a bet on him simply doing what he's been doing: piling up innings.
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