88% on 95+ EP Scores. Three Straight Wins. Three More Tonight.

Wembanyama got ejected early in Game 4 with just 5 combined points and assists in 12 minutes, but he's cleared to play tonight and returning home where San Antonio is a 10-point favorite. We're projecting 34.1 for a +3.6 edge at 98 EP Score. Before the ejection, he posted 40 P+A in Game 3 and 16 in Game 1 (though Game 1 was a blowout where he played limited minutes). Minnesota ranks 15th defensively against centers, allowing 20.9 P+A to the position, and this is a must-win Game 5 with the series tied 2-2. Wembanyama's usage sits at 32.6%, and he'll be motivated to erase Sunday's frustration.

Edwards has scored 36 and 32 points in his last two games, both against this same Spurs defense. We're projecting 30.5 on a 25.5 line — that's a +5.0 edge at 97 EP Score. San Antonio ranks 5th in defense against shooting guards, which means they're allowing 26.5 points per game to the position, and Edwards is operating at 31.7% usage with a 28.8 season scoring average. He's been off the injury report for two straight games after dealing with a knee bruise, and Minnesota needs him to keep attacking in this road Game 5. The matchup and the moment both favor volume.

Castle put up 30 combined points, rebounds, and assists in Game 4 on Sunday, and he's averaging 36.2 across those three categories over his last five games. We're projecting 31.7 for a +2.2 edge at 95 EP Score. Through nine playoff games, he's at 18.9 points, 6.1 assists, and 4.3 rebounds per night, well above this 29.5 line. Minnesota ranks 6th defensively against shooting guards but still allows 42.4 P+R+A to the position. With Wembanyama back in the lineup and the Spurs at home, Castle should see his normal rhythm and usage (25.1%) continue.