Monday Night MLB Intel

Palacios is hitting .231 over his last 10 games, a 6-for-26 stretch that still produced 7 RBI but not much in the way of consistent contact. A sub-.250 average over a 10-game sample isn't the profile of a guy you lean on to get a hit every night, and at -125 the market is practically agreeing with the model here. Tonight's matchup is NYY @ TB at Tropicana Field, first pitch 8:00 PM ET, and the projection sits at 0.3 hits against a 0.5 line.

Bellinger's power has shown flashes, 2 homers and 4 RBI over his last 10 games, but the overall line is a .220 average on 9-for-41. That's a lot of empty at-bats mixed in with the thump, and total bases props punish exactly that kind of streakiness. He's in the same NYY-TB game as Palacios tonight at Tropicana Field, and the projection here comes in at 1.1 against a 1.5 line, with the number backed at -160 on Novig.

Montgomery is 3-for-33 over his last 10 games, a .091 clip that's about as cold as a hitter can run without getting benched. Three RBI snuck in somewhere along the way, but the bat-to-ball numbers are ugly enough that betting against a base hit feels like the obvious read. CWS visits CLE at Progressive Field tonight at 5:00 PM ET, and the model has him projected for just 0.3 hits against this 0.5 line.