Perfect Monday + Two Game 6 Plays at 95-96 EP Score

Wembanyama is averaging 28.2 points, 11.8 rebounds, and 3.6 assists against Oklahoma City in this series, and we're projecting 18.7 rebounds+assists for a +3.2 edge at 96 EP Score. San Antonio's at home in an elimination game, and Wemby played 38 minutes in Game 5 despite his quietest offensive night of the series. The Thunder rank 5th-worst defending his position, and in a must-win spot where the Spurs need him to do everything, his usage and minutes should be maximized. His R+A totals have been volatile this series (ranging from 7 to 27), but the projection accounts for that variance, and in a Game 6 at home with season on the line, this is the spot where stars deliver.

McCain has made exactly 2.0 threes per game over his last three playoff appearances, and we're projecting 1.9 for a +0.6 edge at 95 EP Score. He's shooting just 34.4% from the floor over his last four games, including brutal three-point nights of 2-for-10, 0-for-5, and 3-for-9 against San Antonio. McCain moved into the starting lineup for Game 5 with Jalen Williams out, which increased his volume but hasn't translated to efficiency. His season average is only 1.5 threes per game, and while he's getting more attempts in this series, the cold shooting suggests regression toward that baseline is coming.