3-0 Last Night, Two More Edges Tonight in Western Finals

Wembanyama has averaged 30.6 P+A over his last five games, including 38 in Game 4 (33 points, 5 assists) and 44 in the double-overtime Game 1 win. We're projecting 32.7 for a +3.2 edge at 97 EP Score. This is Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals, series tied 2-2, and Wembanyama is running a 32.6% usage rate with elite efficiency (62.6 TS%). Oklahoma City ranks 5th-toughest against PFs, but Wembanyama's offensive anchor role in a must-win road game overrides defensive context.

McCain went 0-for-5 from three in Game 4 and 2-for-10 in Game 3, part of a brutal cold stretch that's dropped him to 1.8 threes per game over his last five. We're projecting 2.0 on a 2.5 line, that's a +0.5 edge at 95 EP Score. San Antonio ranks 5th-toughest defensively against shooting guards, and even with Ajay Mitchell out (calf), McCain's expanded minutes haven't translated to consistent volume from deep. His season average is just 1.5 threes per game, and the recent shooting variance supports staying under.